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Source: What ‘Russia’s Pearl Harbor’ Says About Trump’s Golden Dome – Newsweek
几乎如同预兆一般，军事分析家马克斯·布特在周六《华盛顿邮报》的一篇专栏文章中警告称，未来的战争将不再依靠大规模的天基导弹防御系统，而是依靠成群的廉价消耗性无人机。 不到24小时后，乌克兰就拿出了证据。 周日凌晨，乌克兰情报部门发动了“蜘蛛网行动”——对五个俄罗斯空军基地进行协同无人机袭击，其中包括两个位于西伯利亚腹地、距离乌克兰边境数千英里的基地。据报道，这些无人机被藏匿在拖车上的木屋内，并远程部署，摧毁了多达三分之一的俄罗斯远程轰炸机编队。 一些军事评论员将其与另一个臭名昭著的周日奇袭——1941年日本偷袭珍珠港——进行了比较。乌克兰总统泽连斯基亲自监督了此次行动，并表示行动仅花费数万美元，但可能造成至少70亿美元的损失。视频证实，无人机飞向目标，击中了俄罗斯可携带核弹头的轰炸机和至少一架A-50侦察机。 这也是一个典型的例子——鲜明地展现了不对称战争如何颠覆传统的权力格局。 就在乌克兰展示无人机作战能力的几天前，唐纳德·特朗普总统刚刚宣布了“金色穹顶”计划。特朗普政府表示，这项耗资1750亿美元的天基导弹防御系统将在2029年前保护美国免受高超音速和洲际导弹威胁。 美国国会预算办公室估计，即使实际可行，该项目也可能需要20年时间才能完成，耗资高达8300亿美元。如今，无人机群只需花费极少的成本就能摧毁价值数十亿美元的军事基础设施。接受《新闻周刊》采访的军事分析人士表示，美国必须重新评估其导弹防御重点是面向未来，还是仅仅停留在捍卫已不复存在的过去。
Almost like it was a premonition, military analyst Max Boot warned in a Saturday Washington Post op-ed that the future of warfare wouldn’t be fought with massive space-based missile shields, but with swarms of cheap, expendable drones.
Less than 24 hours later, Ukraine delivered the proof.
In the early hours of Sunday morning, Ukraine’s intelligence service launched Operation Spiderweb—a coordinated drone strike on five Russian air bases, including two located deep in Siberia, thousands of miles from the Ukrainian border. The drones, smuggled inside wooden cabins on tractor-trailers and deployed remotely, reportedly disabled or destroyed up to a third of Russia’s long-range bomber fleet.
Some military commentators compared it to another infamous Sunday surprise—Japan’s 1941 attack on Pearl Harbor.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky oversaw the operation perdsonally and said it cost only tens of thousands of dollars, but may have caused at least $7 billion in damage. Reports said and videos confirmed the drones flew toward their targets, hitting Russia’s nuclear-capable bombers and at least one A-50 spy plane.
It also served as a prime example—a stark demonstration of how asymmetrical warfare can upend traditional power dynamics.
Ukraine’s display of drone warfare came just days after President Donald Trump championed his “Golden Dome”—a $175 billion proposed space-based missile defense system his administration says will shield the U.S. from hypersonic and intercontinental threats by 2029.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the project could cost as much as $830 billion over 20 years to complete, assuming it is even physically possible.
With drone swarms now capable of crippling billion-dollar military infrastructure for a fraction of the cost, military analysts who spoke to Newsweek say the United States must reevaluate whether its missile defense priorities are geared for the future—or stuck defending a past that no longer exists.
