几周前,加拿大执政党自由党似乎注定会输掉今年的大选。然而,三项最新民意调查显示,在美国关税威胁下,该党正在强势回归,支持率与对手保守党持平。 益普索周二晚些时候发布的一项调查显示,左翼自由党的公众支持率为 38%,官方反对党中右翼保守党的支持率为 36%。自由党在六周内扭转了 26 个百分点的落后局面,并投放广告将保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利耶夫雷与唐纳德·特朗普进行比较。 保守党的策略一直是攻击不受欢迎的总理贾斯汀·特鲁多,但他上个月表示,他将在执政九年多后辞职。 自由党将于 3 月 9 日选出新领导人。在美国总统威胁对几乎所有加拿大进口产品征收关税并表示希望吞并加拿大成为美国第 51 个州之后,自由党的支持率稳步上升。 益普索在一份新闻稿中表示:“保守党面临着来自日益高涨的反特朗普情绪和对自由党新领导人期待的阻力。” 下一届选举必须在 10 月 20 日之前举行,但可能会比这早得多。新任自由党领导人可以选择立即举行选举。
Canada’s ruling Liberals, who a few weeks ago looked certain to lose an election this year, are mounting a major comeback amid the threat of US tariffs and are tied with their rival Conservatives, according to three new polls.
An Ipsos survey released late on Tuesday showed the left-leaning Liberals have 38% public support and the official opposition right-of-center Conservatives have 36%. The Liberals have overturned a 26-point deficit in six weeks, and run advertisements comparing Conservative leader, Pierre Poilievre, to Donald Trump.
The Conservative strategy had long been to attack the unpopular prime minister, Justin Trudeau, but he said last month he was resigning after more than nine years in power.
The Liberals, who will choose a new leader on 9 March, steadily picked up support after the US president threatened to impose tariffs on almost all imports from Canada and said he wanted to annex Canada as the 51st US state.
“The Conservatives are facing headwinds from rising anti-Trump sentiment and anticipation surrounding the Liberal party’s new leadership,” Ipsos said in a release.
The next election must be held by 20 October but could come much sooner than that. The new Liberal leader has the option of calling an election immediately.