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Source: Susan Crawford’s Chances of Winning Wisconsin Supreme Court: Betting Odds – Newsweek
Bettings odds point to liberal Judge Susan Crawford as the favorite over conservative Judge Brad Schimel just hours before polls close in Wisconsin’s Supreme Court race.
Newsweek reached out to each campaign for comment via email on Tuesday.
The election will determine the ideological balance of Wisconsin’s highest court ahead of potential rulings on hot-button issues like reproductive rights, voting regulation and redistricting. A Crawford victory would allow the liberal-leaning justices to retain their majority until at least 2028, but a Schimel win would hand conservative justices a majority.
The election is viewed as a gauge of how voters in the critical swing state are feeling about President Donald Trump about two months into his new administration, as well as Elon Musk, who has endorsed and donated to Schimel.
Crawford, who has led in polls of the race, is favored to win the election, according to Polymarket—a U.S. cryptocurrency-based prediction market—which correctly predicted Trump’s victory in the November presidential election.
Crawford serves on the Dane County Circuit Court, while Schimel, the state’s former attorney general, serves on the Waukesha Circuit Court.
As of 3:20 p.m. ET, Crawford had an 87 percent chance of victory, according to the betting odds. She has always been viewed as the likely victor among Polymarket traders. Her chances of winning have hovered around the 80 percent mark since March 17.
