英语:白宫和平协议让乌克兰陷入困境

亚马逊导购/好书推荐     卑诗省当天新盘      读新闻学外语

Source: Why Ukraine is in an impossible spot with the White House peace deal

从白宫最新提出的乌克兰战争“和平”协议的条款来看,唐纳德·特朗普总统正在命令弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基去做他根本做不到的事情。 首先,该计划将迫使乌克兰承认俄罗斯对克里米亚的主权,克里米亚十多年前被莫斯科吞并。 泽连斯基一直顽固地拒绝这样做。 难怪周三谈判毫无进展就此结束。 毕竟,这对他的国家来说将是一个巨大的战略损失——对欧洲和美国也是如此,因为这将为俄罗斯更大的侵略行为筑起滩头阵地。 更重要的是,泽连斯基甚至没有权力同意这样的让步,因为这违反了乌克兰宪法。 特朗普还要求乌克兰领导人签署冻结前线的协议,实际上将卢甘斯克、顿涅茨克等被占地区的控制权移交给俄罗斯,并要求他放弃加入北约的任何计划,以换取“强有力的安全保障”。 (尽管乌克兰人在1994年放弃核武器时获得的保证似乎并没有给他们带来多大好处。) 总而言之:特朗普要求泽连斯基在国家安全方面做出重大让步,同时放弃了更现实的条约和切实的安全保障的希望,而这些希望可能使这些让步在战略上站得住脚——并让他得以试图说服乌克兰人民接受这笔交易。 相比之下,俄罗斯被要求做出的让步却很少:俄罗斯必须从哈尔科夫撤军,并允许在第聂伯河上自由通行。

President Donald Trump is ordering Volodymyr Zelensky to do what he simply can’t do, judging from the reported terms of the latest Ukraine war “peace” deal the White House has put on the table.

The plan, for starters, would force Ukraine to recognize Russian sovereignty over Crimea, which Moscow annexed more than a decade ago.

Zelensky has doggedly refused to do that.

No wonder talks ended Wednesday with no progress.

After all, that would be a massive strategic loss for his nation — and for Europe and the United States, too, as it would create a beachhead for greater Russian aggression.

What’s more, Zelensky doesn’t even have the power to do agree to such a concession, as it would violate Ukraine’s constitution.

Trump is also demanding the Ukrainian leader sign off on a lock-in of the front lines, effectively ceding control of occupied areas in Luhansk, Donetsk and elsewhere to Russia, and that he give up on any plans to join NATO, in exchange for “robust security guarantees.”

(Never mind that the guarantees Ukrainians got in 1994 for giving up nuclear weapons didn’t seem to do them much good.)

Bottom line: Trump is asking Zelensky to make massive national-security concessions while abandoning hopes of a more realistic treaty and concrete security that might make such concessions strategically tenable — and allow him to try and sell the Ukrainian people on the bargain.

By contrast, Russia is asked to give up little: It would have to withdraw from Kharkiv and allow free travel on the Dnieper River.

At the same time, Team Trump is threatening to wash its hands of the matter entirely if this deal fails to get done — and the president himself took Zelensky to task on social media for his stance.

It’s impossible for America to shrug its shoulders and let this conflict play out on its own and still remain unaffected by the outcome.

Trump can’t simply blame the war on Joe Biden and wash his hands of responsibility for what happens on his watch.

Ironically, that’s what Biden tried to do with his botched Afghanistan bugout: Blame Trump for it, since he’d set a path toward pulling out US troops during his first term.

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