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Source: Mark Carney’s Chances of Beating Pierre Poilievre in Canada Election—Polls – Newsweek
加拿大总理马克·卡尼已宣布将于 4 月下旬举行提前大选，与保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利耶夫展开竞争。民意调查显示，自由党目前占据优势，这与上个月的民意调查结果相反。 《新闻周刊》周日通过电子邮件联系了加拿大自由党和保守党的新闻联系人。 卡尼目前没有议会席位，但最近接替贾斯汀·特鲁多担任总理，他已宣布将于 4 月 28 日举行提前大选，这被视为对自由党和保守党的一次重大考验。卡尼将代表自由党，而波利耶夫将领导保守党，后者有时在意识形态上类似唐纳德·特朗普总统。 此次选举正值加拿大和美国友好关系恶化之际，特朗普的关税议程和多次表示将加拿大并入成为第 51 个州，导致两国关系近几周紧张升级。 预计美加关系将成为即将到来的选举决定性问题，因为双方都在努力应对日益加剧的紧张局势和国家主权问题。 距离大选仅剩一个多月，民意调查显示，两党势均力敌。截至周日，民意调查 338Canada 的数据显示，自由党支持率为 39%，保守党为 37%，新民主党为 11%。自由党的领先优势在误差范围内，即正负 4 个百分点。 同一家民意调查显示，当特鲁多于 1 月 5 日宣布辞职时，他的政党支持率约为 20%，而保守党的支持率是特鲁多的两倍多，为 45%。这也是在特朗普于 1 月 20 日上任之前。现在民调几乎已经翻转。
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has called a snap election for late April, setting up a contest with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre in a race that polls now show mainly favoring the Liberal Party—a flip from last month’s polling numbers.
Newsweek has reached out to the press contacts for Canada’s Liberal and Conservative parties via email on Sunday.
Carney, who does not currently hold a seat in Parliament, but recently succeeded Justin Trudeau as prime minister, has called snap elections for April 28 in what is seen as a major test for the Liberal and Conservative parties. Carney will represent the Liberal Party while Poilievre, who has been at times compared ideologically to President Donald Trump, will lead the Conservative ticket.
The election comes as the friendly rapport between Canada and the United States has soured, with tensions elevated in recent weeks following Trump’s tariff agenda and repeated remarks about making Canada the 51st state.
U.S.-Canada relations are expected to be a defining issue in the upcoming election, as both parties grapple with rising tensions and national sovereignty concerns.
With the general election just over a month away, polls show the race essentially neck-and-neck. As of Sunday, polling aggregator 338Canada had the Liberal Party at 39 percent, the Conservative Party at 37 percent, and New Democratic Party at 11 percent. The Liberal Party’s lead falls within the margin of error, which is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The same aggregator shows that when Trudeau announced his resignation on January 5, his party was polling around 20 percent compared to the Conservative party more than doubling support, at 45 percent. That was also prior to Trump taking office on January 20. The polls have now nearly flipped.
