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Source: Top 5 Favorites To Replace Pope Francis After First Day of Conclave – Newsweek
教皇选举会议第一天结束时，西斯廷教堂冒出滚滚黑烟，这意味着第一轮投票后并未选出新教皇。以下是一些博彩公司对下一任天主教会领袖候选人的预测。 无论谁成为下一任教皇，都将立即成为当今最知名的宗教人物，对全球14亿天主教徒拥有相当大的影响力。选举会议于周三开始，旨在选举教皇方济各的继任者。方济各自2013年以来一直领导教会，并于4月21日去世。 周三，133名枢机主教齐聚梵蒂冈，选举新教皇——这一过程没有固定的时间框架。历史上，选举会议通常持续数年，但最近的几次只持续了几天。候选人必须获得三分之二的多数票才能成为下一任教皇。教堂冒出白烟标志着新教皇的选举结束。 枢机会议的召开保密性极高，因此外界无法得知枢机主教们正在考虑谁。但这并没有阻止交易员们大举押注下一任枢机主教。 以下是三大博彩市场对接替教皇方济各的五大热门人选的预测。
皮埃特罗·帕罗林——可能性 28%
路易斯·安东尼奥·塔格莱——可能性 20%
马特奥·祖皮——可能性 10%
皮尔巴蒂斯塔·皮扎巴拉——可能性 9%
彼得·埃尔多——可能性 8%
The first day of the papal conclave ended with black smoke billowing from the Sistine Chapel, signaling that no new pope had been chosen after the first ballot. Here is a look at what betting odds say about the frontrunner to become the next leader of the Catholic Church.
Whoever becomes the next pope will instantly become perhaps the most recognizable living religious figure, holding considerable sway over the world’s 1.4 billion Catholics. The conclave began on Wednesday to elect the successor to Pope Francis, who died on April 21 after leading the church since 2013.
On Wednesday, 133 cardinals gathered at the Vatican to elect a new pope—a process that has no set time frame. Conclaves have lasted for years, historically, though the most recent ones have lasted for only a few days. A candidate must receive two-thirds majority to become the next pope. The election a new pope will be signaled by white smoke from the chapel.
The conclave is shrouded in privacy, so there’s no clear way to know who cardinals are considering from the outside. But that hasn’t stopped traders from betting big on who the next cardinal could be.
Here’s a look at the top five favorites to replace Pope Francis in three key betting markets.
- Pietro Parolin — 28 percent likelihood
- Luis Antonio Tagle — 20 percent likelihood
- Matteo Zuppi — 10 percent likelihood
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa — 9 percent likelihood
- Peter Erdo — 8 percent likelihood
